Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000149 0.000166 0.000185 0.000206 0.000229 0.000255 0.000285
2025-08-31 0.000124 0.000147 0.000174 0.000206 0.000244 0.000288 0.000342
2025-09-07 0.000106 0.000133 0.000165 0.000206 0.000258 0.000320 0.000401
2025-09-14 0.000092 0.000121 0.000156 0.000205 0.000268 0.000347 0.000456
2025-09-21 0.000083 0.000113 0.000152 0.000207 0.000282 0.000381 0.000522
2025-09-28 0.000075 0.000106 0.000148 0.000208 0.000295 0.000412 0.000586
2025-10-05 0.000067 0.000098 0.000142 0.000207 0.000303 0.000438 0.000644
2025-10-12 0.000062 0.000094 0.000140 0.000212 0.000319 0.000476 0.000723
2025-10-19 0.000057 0.000089 0.000137 0.000212 0.000329 0.000505 0.000790
2025-10-26 0.000053 0.000085 0.000133 0.000212 0.000338 0.000532 0.000856
2025-11-02 0.000049 0.000080 0.000128 0.000210 0.000343 0.000555 0.000917
2025-11-09 0.000046 0.000077 0.000126 0.000212 0.000355 0.000588 0.000996
2025-11-16 0.000042 0.000072 0.000122 0.000209 0.000360 0.000610 0.001061
2025-11-23 0.000039 0.000068 0.000118 0.000208 0.000367 0.000638 0.001137
2025-11-30 0.000036 0.000065 0.000115 0.000208 0.000376 0.000669 0.001222
2025-12-07 0.000033 0.000062 0.000112 0.000206 0.000381 0.000694 0.001298
2025-12-14 0.000032 0.000060 0.000111 0.000209 0.000395 0.000734 0.001405
2025-12-21 0.000030 0.000058 0.000109 0.000210 0.000406 0.000770 0.001507
2025-12-28 0.000028 0.000055 0.000106 0.000209 0.000411 0.000796 0.001592
2026-01-04 0.000027 0.000054 0.000106 0.000213 0.000429 0.000848 0.001730
2026-01-11 0.000025 0.000052 0.000104 0.000214 0.000438 0.000883 0.001839
2026-01-18 0.000024 0.000050 0.000102 0.000213 0.000446 0.000915 0.001945
2026-01-25 0.000022 0.000048 0.000099 0.000211 0.000450 0.000941 0.002039